Ever
Since Sally Bryant Quinn used her Newsweek column to tell us all to
"Buy term and invest the difference", the sales of term
life insurance relative to permanent forms have been skyrocketing.
(Apparently, most people didn't recognize her conflicted logic in
a subsequent column that suggested retirees supplement their income
by accessing their highly tax favored permanent life insurance cash
values.) The vast majority of life insurance policies sold over the
past 15 years have been term life contracts, and they present unique
challenges to the life settlement process.
Annual term life policy premiums were once reflective of the increasing
mortality as insured persons aged; annually renewable term. The costs
per benefit were higher at issue ages, and they increased each year
the policy was kept. About 20 years ago, aggressive, less traditional
insurers began offering term contracts with premium schedules that
remained level for a period of years, then offered aggressively priced
renewal rates available to anyone who could state that his health
had not declined from the original policy issue date. If health became
an issue in the years since policy origination, the insured would
either be offered a higher level premium option, or the carrier would
slip the insured into an unfavorable, increasing annual cost schedule.
In situations where deteriorating health occurred before the insurance
premium schedule reached its renewal date, a shrewd insurance consultant
would council his client to convert (if permitted) the term policy
to a form of permanent coverage; taking advantage of the more favorable
underwriting classification under which the policy was issued, but
which would no longer be available to him. The result was that the
insured, now in declining health, could purchase permanent life insurance
at lower rates and with higher values than under any other circumstances.
Within the past decade, the guaranteed level premium periods offered
by term policies have expanded to as much as 30 years, and the maximum
age for the guarantee to hold can exceed age 80. However, the privilege
to convert many of these term policies has been eliminated. In its
place, policies that survive to the end of the initial premium guarantee
period before age 80 are slotted into an annually increasing term
premium until they reach 80, then into a level premium to age 100
- often at excessively high rates.
The process most often used to determine policy pricing in life settlements
is to weigh the policy annual premium, projected mortality of the
insured(s), policy net cash value, growth rate for the cash value,
insurance face amount, and financial strength of the company. These
are all put into a formula to develop a price agreeable to both seller
and buyer. Term insurance removes at least two of these keys, and
potentially a third. Cash values and their rates of return become
non-factors, and premium projections are likely to show significant
jumps once guaranteed premium schedules reach their end. As relates
to life settlements, this results in unpredictability when pricing
a policy - and nothing makes this nascent market more uncomfortable
than not being reasonably certain of what lies ahead.
There are two ways to mollify this concern: converting term policies
into permanent plans and making buy/sell decisions based on the new,
Universal Life or Whole Life contracts; or, buying term policies that
will remain at the same term premium well beyond an insured person's
projected mortality.
Not all term policies are convertible. Some don't permit conversion
and clearly say so within the contract. If this is the case, the only
reasonable way to approach to a life settlement transaction is with
the term premiums guaranteed well beyond life expectancy. A 65 year
old insured at 59, for example, with by 20 year level premium contract
issued with favorable underwriting rates but now with a four year
life expectancy, would offer a viable policy for life settlement consideration.
Even though the policy could only remain term through age 78, the
life expectancy projections are short of the end of the premium guarantee
period by ten years. If the mortality projection and the premium guarantee
period were significantly closer - two or three years for example
- a buyer should be leery of the premium risk should the policy remain
in force beyond the premium guarantees.
If a policy allows conversion and the conversion is still available
at the insured's attained age, the life settlement transaction should
be based on the converted policies costs and values. A converted policy
allows the owner to manage premiums and cash values into the future
by adjusting annual outlays based on reasonable projections into the
future by the insurer. These newly permanent contracts can retain
their market viability even if the mortality projections prove much
too aggressive. Since the conversion is done at the same underwriting
classification as when the term plan was issued, the rates will be
lower and the cash values higher than any contract available to the
insured who would now be a significantly impaired risk, or uninsurable.